Ukraine Update: The Russian paper tiger, er, bear, is exposed, and don’t miss this week’s The Brief

Meanwhile, everyone is starting to realize that the Russian army isn’t everything it was hyped up to be

“In three days, Russia couldn’t achieve what we did in three hours in Iraq in 2003,” a senior retired Air Force officer says, somewhat hyperbolically. In three days, the officer says, the number of aimpoints Russia attacked is only one-quarter of what the U.S. hit in the opening airstrikes in Iraq (more than 3,200 aimpoints). Preliminary analysis from U.S. intelligence indicates that Russia delivered 11,000 bombs and missiles to precisely hit some 820 separate “aimpoints,” or about a seven percent success rate (the U.S. equivalent in Iraq in 2003 was well over 80 percent) […]”The Russians seem to be focusing on piecemeal attacks because the choreography of a coordinated attack seems too complex for them to pull off.”

Another good point: 

A total of 150,000 Russian invaders may sound impressive, another analyst says, but that force pushed into Ukraine from about 15 different locations, dividing up the power of each individual attack. The analyst says that such a multipronged approach demonstrates another overestimation on the part of Moscow, that the country could be quickly occupied.

That’s also 15 different supply lines that are left exposed. Given the lack of fighting prowess on the battlefield, we’re now going to see traditional Russian military strategy—have artillery bomb everything in front of it, and let the infantry occupy rubble. It’s going to be awful. 

This is good, by Jon Soltz, and you better believe we’ll be talking about this on today’s show:


This thread is also important. Here’s my other guest today:


Seriously, the show will make everyone smarter on this conflict. 

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